Showing posts with label congestion charging. Show all posts
Showing posts with label congestion charging. Show all posts

Wednesday, 7 January 2009

Does Congestion Have a Cost?

Many of the costs of driving are fixed (see the AA's driving table of driving costs...). However, that doesn't change the fact that they exclude some people from owning/driving a car (as does a congestion charge, i.e. it's not really any more of a social discrimation factor than other motoring costs). As regards whether they influence whether people use their cars or not, if we do want to discourage car use then more of these costs must be made variable, i.e. if one drives less one pays less. Some steps have been made towards this, e.g. pay as you drive insurance (Norwich Union being one example). If road tax were also usage-dependent (as well as on emissions and vehicle weight) this would further encourage people to carefully consider each car journey.

Does congestion itself have a cost? I would say "definitely". Before listing a few example costs, one interesting point to consider is the price people are willing to pay to avoid congestion (which hence puts a value on it). Clearly people do place a value on getting round congestion, as evidenced by people using toll roads (e.g. the M6 toll) instead of alternatives. What costs does congestion have? A few are:

  • Longer journey times, which means less time at work, or with family. Either results in lower productivity and hence lower incomes. For some businesses, such as multi-drop deliveries, more congestion means more vans/drivers are needed.
  • Air quality is considerably worse with large numbers of cars idling, then continually undergoing stop/start transitions (as in congested cities). Higher levels of pollution cause long term health problems (asthma, probably lung cancer...), which then cost the tax payer via the NHS.
  • Journey costs are increased to the driver themselves, as congested conditions will mean less efficient fuel burn, plus extra wear and tear on the vehicle due to continual stop/start behaviour.
  • Congestion has been linked to higher incidents of vehicle collisions, which both increases health costs and insurance/repair expenses.

All of these costs have significant values (hence the £12bn/year estimate I gave in the post titled "Road Pricing & Delivery Vehicles"). This is both in costs to individuals and to society as a whole. However, clearly these costs aren't ones that the average driver considers when planning a journey (e.g. every time I go to the shops I don't think about the tiny increase in the probability that I'll get lung cancer). Moreover, such costs are paid for by everyone, regardless of whether they drive. It seems fairer to charge those who are causing such costs accordingly.

Further details of the costs of congestion can be found in section 5.5 of VTPI's "Transportation Cost and Benefit Analysis".

A congestion charge could indeed be used to raise tax revenues. However, there is nothing to stop a government, in principal, committing it to be spent on transport. This has been the case in London, Bergen, and Stockholm. Such revenue hypothecation is one of the characteristics of successful congestion charging schemes (if only the UK government would learn that).

In terms of high fuel duty not affecting congestion, that is correct: it simply increases the costs of driving, regardless of when or where (apart from using more fuel in congested areas). A congestion charge (particularly time-variant) provides an economic disincentive to people from travelling in congested areas at peak times (i.e. causing congestion). Petrol prices do have an effect on how much people use their car, as was seen in the USA recently when prices were particularly high (estimate of 58 billion fewer miles travelled in first seven months of 2008). However, that just penalises everyone wherever, whenever.

Overall a government needs to be clear on whether they want to reduce congestion, which is discouraging people from travelling at certain times in certain places, or to reduce total vehicle miles, which can be achieved by increasing the proportion of the total cost (but not necessarily the total cost!) of running a vehicle that is distance-dependent. Of course, we probably need to do both, (carbon dioxide emissions now being hugely significant will require us to cut down total vehicle miles; congestion costs us all, as described above).

So: does congestion have an economic cost? Yes, definitely. But do people really take that cost into account at the moment? No.

(Cross-posted from the thread on congestion charging over at the Cambridge Network social network.)

Does Road Pricing Force the Poor Off the Roads?

The short answer to this question is "yes".

The long answer is more interesting. I agree that road pricing/congestion charging might price some people out of using the roads at rush hour. But the same could be said of petrol prices, or road tax, or insurance... The key point is that roads are not free to use for any motorised vehicle now. The aim of a charge is to make road users (effectively) pay the economic cost of the congestion they cause: yes, this means that the rich can cruise in more quickly than before. But today the rich can use their private car versus having to use the (cheaper) bus service. The poor have less choice.

If the charge is set correctly, and there is a viable public transport alternative, the (really) less well-off in society end up with a more affordable and efficient public transport service than at present. The issue is that congestion is damaging to a country's/region's economy as a whole, and the only way to reduce that is by reducing the number of vehicles on the road at rush hour (i.e. somehow people are forced to change journey timings or move on to public transport).

Jon Davies makes another interesting observation: if a congestion charging scheme is made revenue neutral (i.e. total revenues raised by government are the same as currently under road taxation), then it might in fact become cheaper for the less well-off to drive at certain times (e.g. midnight). That might mean some people could afford to use the road who cannot at present.

For some facts and figures on cost/benefit of cordon-based road pricing, see the results of the Stockholm trial. The last page details benefits of reduced journey times, cleaner air, etc..

Ultimately, is being able to afford to use a car a "right" or a privilege? If we had good public transport I think I'd regard it as more of a luxury... Thoughts?

(Cross-posted from the thread on congestion charging over at the Cambridge Network social network.)

Road Pricing & Delivery Vehicles

At the risk of this blog losing its (already vague) focus, I thought I'd post some of my thoughts on congestion charging, a form of road pricing. Over at the Cambridge Network social network there's been a thread on this precise subject, as there are proposals for such a scheme in Cambridge, UK. So I'm now cross-posting my thoughts here.

As regards congestion charging being good/bad for business, it's really dependent on the increased value it generates versus the costs. In the case of deliveries, it can be argued that the less time spent in traffic jams, the lower the fuel costs, and also the more deliveries per day a single van can make. If deliveries during rush hour are essential, then the above benefits apply. If not, then (with a time-varying charge) the delivery firm would not incur the charge.

Meanwhile, if a charge means that people spend less time in traffic jams and more time at work or at home, employers are likely to benefit. The real problem with evaluating many congestion charging schemes is the cost that's attached to current levels of congestion. Estimates in 2004 were £12bn/year for all of the UK (Feasibility Study of Road Pricing in the UK, Dft, 2004). Similarly, in the USA, the 2003 estimate in the Texas Urban Mobility Report was $63bn/year.

The real question is therefore whether people appreciate what the cost of their causing congestion is.